Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 8.391976 9.759092 11.229834 12.924016 14.815843 16.857492 19.221416
2025-03-23 6.667698 8.439543 10.470651 12.951695 15.880024 19.205460 23.245449
2025-03-30 5.450746 7.425807 9.815982 12.881325 16.664994 21.137942 26.777337
2025-04-06 4.650732 6.763139 9.443564 13.027005 17.618663 23.228263 30.514831
2025-04-13 4.031181 6.225655 9.132830 13.165941 18.505378 25.215492 34.154525
2025-04-20 3.620827 5.903207 9.044971 13.546629 19.675878 27.564976 38.298885
2025-04-27 3.244407 5.572451 8.895994 13.804104 20.661600 29.682084 42.190732
2025-05-04 2.852398 5.164266 8.587156 13.794342 21.254206 31.273681 45.420316
2025-05-11 2.370393 4.552142 7.915005 13.198536 20.973409 31.648648 47.008323
2025-05-18 2.054362 4.164242 7.536951 12.990232 21.205887 32.704029 49.518164
2025-05-25 1.763892 3.779534 7.122913 12.685960 21.263559 33.494123 51.661907
2025-06-01 1.542422 3.485681 6.823839 12.528683 21.514743 34.547317 54.182854
2025-06-08 1.317643 3.156489 6.437168 12.205662 21.498297 35.216085 56.188934
2025-06-15 1.184127 2.983716 6.300139 12.273194 22.077169 36.762875 59.486843
2025-06-22 1.049517 2.788832 6.103924 12.223253 22.459636 38.019900 62.387510
2025-06-29 0.956705 2.667821 6.029178 12.370504 23.156031 39.761722 66.037289
2025-07-06 0.872382 2.552718 5.953549 12.507076 23.833975 41.488089 69.700028
2025-07-13 0.822337 2.508172 6.007959 12.873964 24.901221 43.838446 74.348845
2025-07-20 0.763823 2.434997 5.998653 13.121832 25.774204 45.905317 78.611697
2025-07-27 0.685797 2.301788 5.855880 13.112717 26.206298 47.285433 81.853277
2025-08-03 0.567472 2.043908 5.429428 12.540697 25.639543 47.053204 82.598197
2025-08-10 0.494152 1.890689 5.207651 12.340765 25.704759 47.826667 84.909728
2025-08-17 0.423133 1.728873 4.949219 12.048723 25.587762 48.291883 86.738437